Stock Analysis

Oxford Metrics plc's (LON:OMG) market cap decline of UK£12m may not have as much of an impact on institutional owners after a year of 4.8% returns

AIM:OMG
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Key Insights

  • Institutions' substantial holdings in Oxford Metrics implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price
  • A total of 8 investors have a majority stake in the company with 50% ownership
  • Analyst forecasts along with ownership data serve to give a strong idea about prospects for a business

To get a sense of who is truly in control of Oxford Metrics plc (LON:OMG), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are institutions with 81% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

No shareholder likes losing money on their investments, especially institutional investors who saw their holdings drop 10% in value last week. However, the 4.8% one-year return to shareholders might have softened the blow. But they would probably be wary of future losses.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Oxford Metrics, beginning with the chart below.

Check out our latest analysis for Oxford Metrics

ownership-breakdown
AIM:OMG Ownership Breakdown October 4th 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Oxford Metrics?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Oxford Metrics. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Oxford Metrics' earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
AIM:OMG Earnings and Revenue Growth October 4th 2023

Institutional investors own over 50% of the company, so together than can probably strongly influence board decisions. Oxford Metrics is not owned by hedge funds. The company's largest shareholder is Charles Stanley & Co. Ltd, Asset Management Arm, with ownership of 11%. With 8.9% and 7.3% of the shares outstanding respectively, Aviva Investors Global Services Ltd. and Canaccord Genuity Asset Management Limited are the second and third largest shareholders. Furthermore, CEO Nicholas Bolton is the owner of 1.9% of the company's shares.

We also observed that the top 8 shareholders account for more than half of the share register, with a few smaller shareholders to balance the interests of the larger ones to a certain extent.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Oxford Metrics

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

We can see that insiders own shares in Oxford Metrics plc. As individuals, the insiders collectively own UK£3.5m worth of the UK£114m company. It is good to see some investment by insiders, but we usually like to see higher insider holdings. It might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying.

General Public Ownership

With a 14% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Oxford Metrics. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks for example - Oxford Metrics has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If you would prefer discover what analysts are predicting in terms of future growth, do not miss this free report on analyst forecasts.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Oxford Metrics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.