Stock Analysis

    Do Sumo Group's (LON:SUMO) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

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    It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. And in their study titled Who Falls Prey to the Wolf of Wall Street?' Leuz et. al. found that it is 'quite common' for investors to lose money by buying into 'pump and dump' schemes.

    In contrast to all that, I prefer to spend time on companies like Sumo Group (LON:SUMO), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Now, I'm not saying that the stock is necessarily undervalued today; but I can't shake an appreciation for the profitability of the business itself. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

    View our latest analysis for Sumo Group

    Sumo Group's Improving Profits

    In business, though not in life, profits are a key measure of success; and share prices tend to reflect earnings per share (EPS). So like the hint of a smile on a face that I love, growing EPS generally makes me look twice. It is therefore awe-striking that Sumo Group's EPS went from UK£0.011 to UK£0.068 in just one year. When you see earnings grow that quickly, it often means good things ahead for the company. But the key is discerning whether something profound has changed, or if this is a just a one-off boost.

    I like to take a look at earnings before interest and (EBIT) tax margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. Sumo Group shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 7.1% to 17%, and revenue is growing. Ticking those two boxes is a good sign of growth, in my book.

    The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

    earnings-and-revenue-history
    AIM:SUMO Earnings and Revenue History March 2nd 2021

    The trick, as an investor, is to find companies that are going to perform well in the future, not just in the past. To that end, right now and today, you can check our visualization of consensus analyst forecasts for future Sumo Group EPS 100% free.

    Are Sumo Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

    I like company leaders to have some skin in the game, so to speak, because it increases alignment of incentives between the people running the business, and its true owners. So it is good to see that Sumo Group insiders have a significant amount of capital invested in the stock. To be specific, they have UK£35m worth of shares. That shows significant buy-in, and may indicate conviction in the business strategy. That amounts to 6.9% of the company, demonstrating a degree of high-level alignment with shareholders.

    It's good to see that insiders are invested in the company, but are remuneration levels reasonable? Well, based on the CEO pay, I'd say they are indeed. I discovered that the median total compensation for the CEOs of companies like Sumo Group with market caps between UK£287m and UK£1.1b is about UK£738k.

    The Sumo Group CEO received UK£468k in compensation for the year ending . That comes in below the average for similar sized companies, and seems pretty reasonable to me. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.

    Does Sumo Group Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

    Sumo Group's earnings per share growth have been levitating higher, like a mountain goat scaling the Alps. The sweetener is that insiders have a mountain of stock, and the CEO remuneration is quite reasonable. The sharp increase in earnings could signal good business momentum. Big growth can make big winners, so I do think Sumo Group is worth considering carefully. Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Sumo Group that you should be aware of.

    Although Sumo Group certainly looks good to me, I would like it more if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see insider buying, too, then this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying, could be exactly what you're looking for.

    Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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