Stock Analysis

3 UK Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Intrinsic Value

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The United Kingdom market has recently faced challenges, with the FTSE 100 index closing lower amid weak trade data from China and a sluggish global economic recovery. Despite these headwinds, investors can still find opportunities in stocks that are estimated to be trading below their intrinsic value. Identifying such undervalued stocks requires careful analysis of their fundamentals, especially in uncertain market conditions like those we are currently experiencing.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United Kingdom

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
TBC Bank Group (LSE:TBCG)£30.15£57.6847.7%
Gaming Realms (AIM:GMR)£0.4005£0.7647.3%
Liontrust Asset Management (LSE:LIO)£6.51£12.2446.8%
Topps Tiles (LSE:TPT)£0.47£0.947.6%
Marks Electrical Group (AIM:MRK)£0.645£1.2749.2%
C&C Group (LSE:CCR)£1.562£2.9947.7%
AstraZeneca (LSE:AZN)£130.76£248.3547.3%
Mercia Asset Management (AIM:MERC)£0.35£0.6748.1%
Franchise Brands (AIM:FRAN)£1.82£3.6049.5%
Forterra (LSE:FORT)£1.786£3.5049%

Click here to see the full list of 61 stocks from our Undervalued UK Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Below we spotlight a couple of our favorites from our exclusive screener.

Forterra (LSE:FORT)

Overview: Forterra plc manufactures and sells building products in the United Kingdom, with a market cap of £369.52 million.

Operations: Forterra's revenue segments include Bespoke Products generating £67.70 million and Bricks and Blocks contributing £261.10 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 49%

Forterra (£1.79) is trading significantly below its estimated fair value of £3.5, indicating it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite forecasted annual earnings growth of 42.7%, profit margins have declined from 8.9% to 2.5%. Revenue growth is expected to be slower at 8% per year compared to the UK market's 3.7%. Recent financials show a drop in sales and net income for H1 2024, with dividends also reduced from last year’s interim payout.

LSE:FORT Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024

Hays (LSE:HAS)

Overview: Hays plc provides recruitment services across Australia, New Zealand, Germany, the United Kingdom, Ireland, and internationally with a market cap of £1.51 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily comes from Qualified, Professional, and Skilled Recruitment services, amounting to £6.95 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 18.3%

Hays (£0.95) is trading below its estimated fair value of £1.17, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite a forecasted annual earnings growth of 63.29%, recent financials show a decline in sales to £6.95 billion and a net loss of £4.9 million for the year ended June 30, 2024, compared to net income last year. The dividend yield is currently not well covered by earnings, indicating potential sustainability issues.

LSE:HAS Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024

Harbour Energy (LSE:HBR)

Overview: Harbour Energy plc, with a market cap of £2.16 billion, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and gas reserves through its subsidiaries.

Operations: Harbour Energy's revenue from the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and gas reserves amounts to $3.62 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 15.3%

Harbour Energy (£2.81) trades below its estimated fair value of £3.32, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Earnings are forecast to grow 36.18% annually over the next three years, outpacing the UK market's 14.3%. Despite becoming profitable this year with a net income of US$57 million for H1 2024, revenue and production have declined compared to last year. The dividend yield of 7.01% is not well covered by earnings, raising sustainability concerns.

LSE:HBR Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2024

Key Takeaways

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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