Haleon Valuation

Is HLNL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLNL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLNL (£3.33) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£2.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLNL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLNL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HLNL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.1x
PEG Ratio2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLNL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLNL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.9x
ULVR Unilever
20.2x4.3%UK£110.5b
W7L Warpaint London
33x14.7%UK£458.0m
RKT Reckitt Benckiser Group
18.7x11.0%UK£30.6b
EL Estée Lauder Companies
63.7x32.9%US$41.3b
HLNL Haleon
28x12.0%UK£30.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLNL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x) compared to the peer average (33.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLNL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Personal Products Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLNL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x) compared to the European Personal Products industry average (25.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLNL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLNL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28x
Fair PE Ratio28x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HLNL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HLNL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£3.32
UK£3.65
+9.8%
8.5%UK£4.10UK£2.90n/a17
Jun ’25UK£3.25
UK£3.62
+11.5%
8.3%UK£4.10UK£2.90n/a16
May ’25UK£3.31
UK£3.61
+9.1%
8.0%UK£4.10UK£2.90n/a16
Apr ’25UK£3.33
UK£3.59
+8.0%
8.7%UK£4.10UK£2.90n/a15
Mar ’25UK£3.29
UK£3.62
+10.1%
8.8%UK£4.10UK£2.90n/a15
Feb ’25UK£3.25
UK£3.61
+11.3%
9.0%UK£4.10UK£2.90n/a15
Jan ’25UK£3.22
UK£3.60
+11.9%
9.3%UK£4.20UK£2.95n/a16
Dec ’24UK£3.32
UK£3.59
+8.1%
9.2%UK£4.20UK£2.95n/a16
Nov ’24UK£3.30
UK£3.55
+7.6%
9.7%UK£4.30UK£2.80n/a16
Oct ’24UK£3.41
UK£3.53
+3.6%
9.5%UK£4.10UK£2.80n/a16
Sep ’24UK£3.20
UK£3.57
+11.5%
9.1%UK£4.10UK£2.80n/a17
Aug ’24UK£3.31
UK£3.57
+7.9%
9.5%UK£4.10UK£2.80n/a16
Jul ’24UK£3.22
UK£3.60
+11.7%
9.7%UK£4.10UK£2.80n/a16
Jun ’24UK£3.22
UK£3.60
+11.9%
9.7%UK£4.10UK£2.80UK£3.2516
May ’24UK£3.51
UK£3.55
+1.3%
11.2%UK£4.10UK£2.50UK£3.3116
Apr ’24UK£3.23
UK£3.42
+6.0%
11.3%UK£4.00UK£2.50UK£3.3315
Mar ’24UK£3.26
UK£3.47
+6.3%
11.0%UK£4.00UK£2.50UK£3.2915
Feb ’24UK£3.19
UK£3.48
+9.1%
11.1%UK£4.00UK£2.50UK£3.2514
Jan ’24UK£3.29
UK£3.32
+0.8%
14.0%UK£4.10UK£2.50UK£3.2214
Dec ’23UK£2.92
UK£3.26
+11.6%
13.9%UK£4.10UK£2.50UK£3.3214
Nov ’23UK£2.69
UK£3.32
+23.5%
14.1%UK£4.10UK£2.50UK£3.3013
Oct ’23UK£2.80
UK£3.34
+19.4%
12.3%UK£4.00UK£2.50UK£3.4113
Sep ’23UK£2.50
UK£3.37
+34.9%
9.7%UK£3.80UK£2.80UK£3.2013
Aug ’23UK£2.97
UK£3.50
+17.7%
9.0%UK£3.85UK£2.80UK£3.3111

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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