Stock Analysis

Earnings grew faster than the favorable 43% return delivered to Trainline (LON:TRN) shareholders over the last year

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LSE:TRN

If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). To wit, the Trainline Plc (LON:TRN) share price is 43% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 12% (not including dividends) in the same period. That's a solid performance by our standards! Unfortunately the longer term returns are not so good, with the stock falling 12% in the last three years.

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 3.3%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

View our latest analysis for Trainline

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the last year Trainline grew its earnings per share (EPS) by 61%. It's fair to say that the share price gain of 43% did not keep pace with the EPS growth. Therefore, it seems the market isn't as excited about Trainline as it was before. This could be an opportunity.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

LSE:TRN Earnings Per Share Growth August 21st 2024

We know that Trainline has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Trainline has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 43% in the last twelve months. That certainly beats the loss of about 6% per year over the last half decade. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. Is Trainline cheap compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on British exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Trainline might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.