Stock Analysis

Should You Use Anexo Group's (LON:ANX) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?

AIM:ANX
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Statistically speaking, it is less risky to invest in profitable companies than in unprofitable ones. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. This article will consider whether Anexo Group's (LON:ANX) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.

While Anexo Group was able to generate revenue of UK£78.4m in the last twelve months, we think its profit result of UK£14.6m was more important. Happily, it has grown both its profit and revenue over the last three years (though we note its profit is down over the last year).

Check out our latest analysis for Anexo Group

earnings-and-revenue-history
AIM:ANX Earnings and Revenue History December 13th 2020

Of course, it is only sensible to look beyond the statutory profits and question how well those numbers represent the sustainable earnings power of the business. In this article we'll look at how Anexo Group is impacting shareholders by issuing new shares. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. Anexo Group expanded the number of shares on issue by 5.5% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. You can see a chart of Anexo Group's EPS by clicking here.

How Is Dilution Impacting Anexo Group's Earnings Per Share? (EPS)

Anexo Group has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 23% in that time. In comparison, earnings per share only gained over the same period. Net profit actually dropped by 4.5% in the last year. But the EPS result was even worth, with the company recording a decline of 4.8%. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

If Anexo Group's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

Our Take On Anexo Group's Profit Performance

Anexo Group issued shares during the year, and that means its EPS performance lags its net income growth. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Anexo Group's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Anexo Group at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Anexo Group you should be aware of.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Anexo Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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