Stock Analysis

Why You Might Be Interested In Cairn Homes plc (LON:CRN) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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LSE:CRN

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Cairn Homes plc (LON:CRN) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 3 days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Meaning, you will need to purchase Cairn Homes' shares before the 14th of September to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 6th of October.

The company's next dividend payment will be €0.031 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed €0.062 to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Cairn Homes has a trailing yield of 5.6% on the current share price of £0.959. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Cairn Homes

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Cairn Homes paid out 57% of its earnings to investors last year, a normal payout level for most businesses. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. It paid out more than half (50%) of its free cash flow in the past year, which is within an average range for most companies.

It's positive to see that Cairn Homes's dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

LSE:CRN Historic Dividend September 10th 2023

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Stocks in companies that generate sustainable earnings growth often make the best dividend prospects, as it is easier to lift the dividend when earnings are rising. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. It's encouraging to see Cairn Homes has grown its earnings rapidly, up 79% a year for the past five years. Management appears to be striking a nice balance between reinvesting for growth and paying dividends to shareholders. Earnings per share have been growing quickly and in combination with some reinvestment and a middling payout ratio, the stock may have decent dividend prospects going forwards.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Cairn Homes has delivered an average of 5.5% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past four years of dividend payments. Earnings per share have been growing much quicker than dividends, potentially because Cairn Homes is keeping back more of its profits to grow the business.

The Bottom Line

Is Cairn Homes worth buying for its dividend? It's good to see earnings are growing, since all of the best dividend stocks grow their earnings meaningfully over the long run. However, we'd also note that Cairn Homes is paying out more than half of its earnings and cash flow as profits, which could limit the dividend growth if earnings growth slows. In summary, while it has some positive characteristics, we're not inclined to race out and buy Cairn Homes today.

With that in mind, a critical part of thorough stock research is being aware of any risks that stock currently faces. For example - Cairn Homes has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cairn Homes is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.