While Avingtrans plc (LON:AVG) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the AIM. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s examine Avingtrans’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
Check out the opportunities and risks within the GB Machinery industry.
What's The Opportunity In Avingtrans?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Avingtrans’s ratio of 20.47x is trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 16.58x, which means if you buy Avingtrans today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Avingtrans should be trading at this level in the long run, then there should only be a fairly immaterial downside vs other industry peers. In addition to this, it seems like Avingtrans’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s trading around the price multiples of other industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
Can we expect growth from Avingtrans?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with a relatively muted profit growth of 4.9% expected over the next couple of years, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for Avingtrans, at least in the short term.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in AVG’s growth outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at AVG? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on AVG, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive growth outlook may mean it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
It can be quite valuable to consider what analysts expect for Avingtrans from their most recent forecasts. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:AVG
Avingtrans
Provides engineered components, systems, and services to the energy, medical, and infrastructure industries in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States of America, Africa, the Middle East, the Americas, the Carribean, China, and the Asia Pacific.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.