Stock Analysis

Kalray S.A. (EPA:ALKAL) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 27%

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ENXTPA:ALKAL

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Kalray S.A. (EPA:ALKAL) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 71% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Kalray's P/S ratio of 1.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Semiconductor industry in France is about the same. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Kalray

ENXTPA:ALKAL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 30th 2024

What Does Kalray's Recent Performance Look Like?

Kalray certainly has been doing a good job lately as its revenue growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their revenue go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. Those who are bullish on Kalray will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Kalray.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Kalray's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 30%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 21% each year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 6.8% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Kalray's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Kalray's P/S?

Kalray's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Looking at Kalray's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Kalray (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Kalray's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kalray might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.