Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Spineway SA (EPA:ALSPW) Even After 162% Share Price Boost

ENXTPA:ALSPW
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Spineway SA (EPA:ALSPW) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 162% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 99% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Spineway may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Medical Equipment industry in France have P/S ratios greater than 1.9x and even P/S higher than 8x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Spineway

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ENXTPA:ALSPW Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

What Does Spineway's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Spineway has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Spineway's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Spineway's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 77% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 128% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 2.9% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Spineway is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Spineway's P/S?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Spineway's P/S close to the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Spineway revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Spineway, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.