Stock Analysis

Pernod Ricard (ENXTPA:RI): Valuation Perspectives After Board Refresh, Dividend Decision, and €1.2bn Debt Financing

Recent developments out of Pernod Ricard (ENXTPA:RI) have caught the market’s attention. The company announced new board appointments, affirmed its annual dividend, and successfully raised €1.2 billion through fresh bond issuances.

See our latest analysis for Pernod Ricard.

This wave of AGM news, including board changes and fresh bond financing, lands against a backdrop of softer trading for Pernod Ricard. The company’s share price is sitting at €82.42, with a year-to-date share price return of -24%, and the total shareholder return over the past year is -23%. Momentum has clearly faded in recent quarters as market sentiment has become more cautious.

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Given the recent slump in Pernod Ricard’s share price, alongside an attractive discount to analyst targets, investors now face a critical question: Is the current valuation an entry point for future gains, or is the market already reflecting the company’s growth prospects?

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Most Popular Narrative: 21.3% Undervalued

Pernod Ricard's most-followed narrative implies a fair value that stands well above its recent closing price. The narrative builds its case for long-term value by leaning on global brand strength and future profitability initiatives.

Strategic restructuring of the portfolio, including divestment of low-margin assets (e.g., Imperial Blue and the Wines business), alongside intensified focus on higher-margin premium brands, is expected to be immediately accretive to margins and profitability, even as it temporarily weighs on revenue.

Read the complete narrative.

Want a peek under the hood of this surprisingly high fair value? There is a key assumption about margin transformation at the heart of the argument, one you will not expect. The real story is in the precise mix of profit expansion, cost discipline, and a valuation multiple that points to outsized upside. The specifics will definitely surprise you.

Result: Fair Value of €104.72 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent weakness in key markets like the U.S. or new regulatory hurdles in regions such as India could challenge these upbeat expectations.

Find out about the key risks to this Pernod Ricard narrative.

Build Your Own Pernod Ricard Narrative

Curious to see if the data tells you a different story, or do you want to analyze things for yourself? In just a few minutes you can form your own perspective. Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Pernod Ricard research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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