What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. That's why when we briefly looked at Vinci's (EPA:DG) ROCE trend, we were pretty happy with what we saw.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Vinci:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = €7.1b ÷ (€115b - €49b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
So, Vinci has an ROCE of 11%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 7.0% generated by the Construction industry.
See our latest analysis for Vinci
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Vinci compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Vinci here for free.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
While the current returns on capital are decent, they haven't changed much. The company has consistently earned 11% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 63% in that time. Since 11% is a moderate ROCE though, it's good to see a business can continue to reinvest at these decent rates of return. Stable returns in this ballpark can be unexciting, but if they can be maintained over the long run, they often provide nice rewards to shareholders.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Vinci has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 42%, which we'd consider pretty high. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
The Bottom Line On Vinci's ROCE
The main thing to remember is that Vinci has proven its ability to continually reinvest at respectable rates of return. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 40% to shareholders over the last five years. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we still believe the stock deserves further research.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Vinci, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
While Vinci isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:DG
Vinci
Engages in concessions, energy, and construction businesses in France and internationally.
Very undervalued with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.