Stock Analysis

Dassault Aviation Société anonyme (EPA:AM) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To €2.49

ENXTPA:AM
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Dassault Aviation Société anonyme's (EPA:AM) dividend is being reduced to €2.49 on the 25th of May. The dividend yield of 1.9% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Dassault Aviation Société anonyme's stock price has increased by 40% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

View our latest analysis for Dassault Aviation Société anonyme

Dassault Aviation Société anonyme's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Dassault Aviation Société anonyme's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 22.0%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 31% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
ENXTPA:AM Historic Dividend March 7th 2022

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The first annual payment during the last 10 years was €1.07 in 2012, and the most recent fiscal year payment was €2.49. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.8% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Dassault Aviation Société anonyme might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's encouraging to see Dassault Aviation Société anonyme has been growing its earnings per share at 10% a year over the past five years. Dassault Aviation Société anonyme definitely has the potential to grow its dividend in the future with earnings on an uptrend and a low payout ratio.

In Summary

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. While Dassault Aviation Société anonyme is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Dassault Aviation Société anonyme that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.