Stock Analysis
Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Innofactor Oyj (HEL:IFA1V) Even After 29% Share Price Boost
Innofactor Oyj (HEL:IFA1V) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 49% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Innofactor Oyj's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Finland, where the median P/E ratio is around 18x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
There hasn't been much to differentiate Innofactor Oyj's and the market's retreating earnings lately. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think the company's earnings trend will continue to follow the rest of the market. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. At the very least, you'd be hoping that earnings don't accelerate downwards if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.
View our latest analysis for Innofactor Oyj
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Innofactor Oyj's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 22% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 26% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 17% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Innofactor Oyj is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Innofactor Oyj's P/E is also back up to the market median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Innofactor Oyj currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Innofactor Oyj (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About HLSE:IFA1V
Innofactor Oyj
Provides software solutions for monitoring personal data files and log data management in the Nordic countries.