Stock Analysis

Metsä Board Oyj's (HEL:METSB) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

Published
HLSE:METSB

Investors were disappointed by Metsä Board Oyj's (HEL:METSB ) latest earnings release. We did some analysis, and found that there are some reasons to be cautious about the headline numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Metsä Board Oyj

HLSE:METSB Earnings and Revenue History August 8th 2024

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

To properly understand Metsä Board Oyj's profit results, we need to consider the €51m gain attributed to unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Metsä Board Oyj had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Metsä Board Oyj's Profit Performance

As previously mentioned, Metsä Board Oyj's large boost from unusual items won't be there indefinitely, so its statutory earnings are probably a poor guide to its underlying profitability. For this reason, we think that Metsä Board Oyj's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Metsä Board Oyj as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Metsä Board Oyj you should be mindful of and 1 of these makes us a bit uncomfortable.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Metsä Board Oyj's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.