Stock Analysis
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Shareholders Can Be Confident That Aallon Group Oyj's (HEL:AALLON) Earnings Are High Quality
When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like Aallon Group Oyj's (HEL:AALLON) stock has recently. We have done some analysis, and we found several positive factors beyond the profit numbers.
Check out our latest analysis for Aallon Group Oyj
Examining Cashflow Against Aallon Group Oyj's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Over the twelve months to June 2024, Aallon Group Oyj recorded an accrual ratio of -0.21. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of €4.5m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of €1.89m. Aallon Group Oyj's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Aallon Group Oyj's Profit Performance
Happily for shareholders, Aallon Group Oyj produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Aallon Group Oyj's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Aallon Group Oyj and you'll want to know about this.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Aallon Group Oyj's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About HLSE:AALLON
Aallon Group Oyj
Provides accounting services in Finland.