Stock Analysis

At €198, Is Aena S.M.E., S.A. (BME:AENA) Worth Looking At Closely?

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BME:AENA

Aena S.M.E., S.A. (BME:AENA) received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the BME over the last few months, increasing to €210 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €181. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Aena S.M.E's current trading price of €198 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Aena S.M.E’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Aena S.M.E

What's The Opportunity In Aena S.M.E?

Aena S.M.E appears to be overvalued by 24% at the moment, based on our discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at €198 on the market compared to our intrinsic value of €158.96. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Aena S.M.E’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of Aena S.M.E look like?

BME:AENA Earnings and Revenue Growth December 12th 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Aena S.M.E's earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in AENA’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe AENA should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on AENA for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for AENA, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example - Aena S.M.E has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.