Almirall Valuation

Is ALM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALM (€9.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€21.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ALM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13.5x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ALM's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ALM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.3x
FAE Faes Farma
2.4x1.6%€1.2b
ROVI Laboratorios Farmaceuticos Rovi
5.8x11.4%€4.5b
RJF Laboratorio Reig Jofre
0.8x8.2%€252.2m
LAB Labiana Health
0.3x10.4%€17.9m
ALM Almirall
2.3x9.4%€2.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ALM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the peer average (2.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ALM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (3.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALM's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALM PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.3x
Fair PS Ratio2.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ALM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.86
€11.46
+16.3%
14.9%€16.00€9.50n/a11
Jun ’25€9.78
€11.28
+15.4%
16.5%€16.00€8.80n/a11
May ’25€8.57
€11.21
+30.8%
16.9%€16.00€8.80n/a11
Apr ’25€8.27
€11.28
+36.5%
16.8%€16.00€8.80n/a11
Mar ’25€8.04
€11.28
+40.3%
16.8%€16.00€8.80n/a11
Feb ’25€8.45
€11.31
+34.0%
16.6%€16.00€8.80n/a11
Jan ’25€8.43
€11.39
+35.2%
16.0%€16.00€8.80n/a11
Dec ’24€8.54
€11.39
+33.4%
16.0%€16.00€8.80n/a11
Nov ’24€8.55
€11.54
+35.1%
16.2%€16.00€8.80n/a11
Oct ’24€9.62
€11.61
+20.7%
16.4%€16.00€8.80n/a11
Sep ’24€9.41
€11.40
+21.2%
16.2%€16.00€8.80n/a12
Aug ’24€8.72
€11.40
+30.9%
16.2%€16.00€8.80n/a12
Jul ’24€7.58
€11.47
+51.4%
15.5%€16.00€8.80n/a12
Jun ’24€8.28
€11.67
+41.0%
14.5%€16.00€10.00€9.7812
May ’24€9.31
€11.67
+25.4%
14.5%€16.00€10.00€8.5712
Apr ’24€8.60
€11.64
+35.3%
14.3%€16.00€10.00€8.2712
Mar ’24€8.99
€11.64
+29.5%
14.3%€16.00€10.00€8.0412
Feb ’24€9.15
€11.93
+30.4%
16.0%€16.00€10.00€8.4512
Jan ’24€9.04
€12.86
+42.2%
16.3%€18.00€10.00€8.4312
Dec ’23€9.25
€12.86
+39.0%
16.3%€18.00€10.00€8.5412
Nov ’23€9.50
€13.53
+42.4%
14.6%€18.00€10.00€8.5512
Oct ’23€9.86
€13.84
+40.4%
15.5%€18.00€10.00€9.6212
Sep ’23€8.89
€14.30
+60.9%
13.4%€18.00€11.00€9.4110
Aug ’23€9.65
€14.30
+48.2%
13.4%€18.00€11.00€8.7210
Jul ’23€10.63
€14.42
+35.7%
14.0%€18.00€11.00€7.5811
Jun ’23€10.27
€14.34
+39.6%
12.8%€18.00€11.00€8.2812

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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