Stock Analysis
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, NBI Bearings Europe, S.A. (BME:NBI) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for NBI Bearings Europe
How Much Debt Does NBI Bearings Europe Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that NBI Bearings Europe had €48.2m in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has €23.3m in cash leading to net debt of about €24.9m.
A Look At NBI Bearings Europe's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that NBI Bearings Europe had liabilities of €20.9m due within a year, and liabilities of €47.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €23.3m in cash and €13.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €30.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because NBI Bearings Europe is worth €51.8m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
NBI Bearings Europe's debt is 3.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 2.9 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Even more troubling is the fact that NBI Bearings Europe actually let its EBIT decrease by 5.5% over the last year. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if NBI Bearings Europe can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, NBI Bearings Europe saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
We'd go so far as to say NBI Bearings Europe's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was disappointing. And even its EBIT growth rate fails to inspire much confidence. Overall, it seems to us that NBI Bearings Europe's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that NBI Bearings Europe is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit concerning...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if NBI Bearings Europe might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BME:NBI
NBI Bearings Europe
Engages in the design, production, and sale of bearings worldwide.