AS PRFoods' (TAL:PRF1T) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%
AS PRFoods (TAL:PRF1T) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 34% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies operating in Estonia's Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.7x, you may still consider AS PRFoods as an attractive investment with its 0.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for AS PRFoods
What Does AS PRFoods' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
The revenue growth achieved at AS PRFoods over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. Those who are bullish on AS PRFoods will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on AS PRFoods' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, AS PRFoods would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 64% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 53% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's understandable that AS PRFoods' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
Despite AS PRFoods' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of AS PRFoods revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware AS PRFoods is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.
If you're unsure about the strength of AS PRFoods' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TLSE:PRF1T
AS PRFoods
Engages in fish farming and production and sale of fish products in the United Kingdom, and Estonia.
Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.
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