Stock Analysis

Loss-making German High Street Properties (CPH:GERHSP) has seen earnings and shareholder returns follow the same downward trajectory over past -13%

CPSE:GERHSP
Source: Shutterstock

This week we saw the German High Street Properties A/S (CPH:GERHSP) share price climb by 16%. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last year have been less than pleasing. In fact, the price has declined 13% in a year, falling short of the returns you could get by investing in an index fund.

While the stock has risen 16% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

View our latest analysis for German High Street Properties

We don't think German High Street Properties' revenue of €4,551,000 is enough to establish significant demand. This state of affairs suggests that venture capitalists won't provide funds on attractive terms. As a result, we think it's unlikely shareholders are paying much attention to current revenue, but rather speculating on growth in the years to come. It seems likely some shareholders believe that German High Street Properties will significantly advance the business plan before too long.

We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. There is almost always a chance they will need to raise more capital, and their progress - and share price - will dictate how dilutive that is to current holders. While some companies like this go on to deliver on their plan, making good money for shareholders, many end in painful losses and eventual de-listing.

German High Street Properties had liabilities exceeding cash by €42m when it last reported in September 2023, according to our data. That makes it extremely high risk, in our view. But since the share price has dived 13% in the last year , it looks like some investors think it's time to abandon ship, so to speak. You can see in the image below, how German High Street Properties' cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values).

debt-equity-history-analysis
CPSE:GERHSP Debt to Equity History February 13th 2024

It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn't even have revenue. There's no way to know its value easily. Given that situation, would you be concerned if it turned out insiders were relentlessly selling stock? I'd like that just about as much as I like to drink milk and fruit juice mixed together. You can click here to see if there are insiders selling.

A Different Perspective

Investors in German High Street Properties had a tough year, with a total loss of 13%, against a market gain of about 32%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 0.3% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with German High Street Properties (at least 3 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Danish exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.