Stock Analysis

Results: ALK-Abelló A/S Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Published
CPSE:ALK B

As you might know, ALK-Abelló A/S (CPH:ALK B) recently reported its third-quarter numbers. Revenues were kr.1.3b, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at kr.1.00, an impressive 27% ahead of estimates. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

View our latest analysis for ALK-Abelló

CPSE:ALK B Earnings and Revenue Growth November 17th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for ALK-Abelló from five analysts is for revenues of kr.6.19b in 2025. If met, it would imply a meaningful 15% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 51% to kr.5.37. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of kr.6.21b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr.5.41 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of kr.181, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on ALK-Abelló, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at kr.215 and the most bearish at kr.153 per share. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of ALK-Abelló'shistorical trends, as the 12% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 11% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 7.3% per year. So although ALK-Abelló is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at kr.181, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for ALK-Abelló going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You can also see our analysis of ALK-Abelló's Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.