What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Vestas Wind Systems (CPH:VWS), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Vestas Wind Systems:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0024 = €17m ÷ (€20b - €14b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
So, Vestas Wind Systems has an ROCE of 0.2%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Electrical industry average of 12%.
Check out our latest analysis for Vestas Wind Systems
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Vestas Wind Systems compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Vestas Wind Systems.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Vestas Wind Systems Tell Us?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Vestas Wind Systems doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 35% over the last five years. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a side note, Vestas Wind Systems' current liabilities are still rather high at 66% of total assets. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, Vestas Wind Systems is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 68% over the last five years. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
Vestas Wind Systems does have some risks though, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Vestas Wind Systems that you might be interested in.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About CPSE:VWS
Vestas Wind Systems
Engages in the design, manufacture, installation, and services of wind turbines the United States, Denmark, and internationally.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.