Stock Analysis

Further weakness as Vestas Wind Systems (CPH:VWS) drops 6.7% this week, taking one-year losses to 53%

Published
CPSE:VWS

Taking the occasional loss comes part and parcel with investing on the stock market. And there's no doubt that Vestas Wind Systems A/S (CPH:VWS) stock has had a really bad year. The share price has slid 53% in that time. We note that it has not been easy for shareholders over three years, either; the share price is down 47% in that time. Furthermore, it's down 29% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 17% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

After losing 6.7% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

Check out our latest analysis for Vestas Wind Systems

We don't think that Vestas Wind Systems' modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

In the last twelve months, Vestas Wind Systems increased its revenue by 3.4%. While that may seem decent it isn't great considering the company is still making a loss. It's likely this muted growth has contributed to the share price decline of 53% in the last year. We'd want to see evidence that future revenue growth will be stronger before getting too interested. Of course, the market can be too impatient at times. Why not take a closer look at this one so you're ready to pounce if growth does accelerate.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

CPSE:VWS Earnings and Revenue Growth January 23rd 2025

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. If you are thinking of buying or selling Vestas Wind Systems stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Vestas Wind Systems shareholders are down 53% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 9.7%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Vestas Wind Systems that you should be aware of.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of undervalued small cap companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Danish exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.