MT Højgaard Holding A/S (CPH:MTHH), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the CPSE over the last few months. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s take a look at MT Højgaard Holding’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
What is MT Højgaard Holding worth?
According to my valuation model, MT Højgaard Holding seems to be fairly priced at around 3.4% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy MT Højgaard Holding today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth DKK196.73, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because MT Højgaard Holding’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
Can we expect growth from MT Højgaard Holding?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of MT Højgaard Holding, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting top-line growth of 1.4% in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in MTHH’s future outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on MTHH, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that MT Højgaard Holding has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore this.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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