FLSmidth Valuation

Is FLS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FLS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FLS (DKK340) is trading below our estimate of fair value (DKK684.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FLS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FLS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

FLS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.8x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FLS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FLS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.4x
NKT NKT
35.4x17.3%DKK 33.2b
SKAKO SKAKO
13.1xn/aDKK 212.2m
PAAL B Per Aarsleff Holding
8.4x0.1%DKK 6.9b
NLFSK Nilfisk Holding
12.7x18.0%DKK 3.8b
FLS FLSmidth
25.2x21.4%DKK 19.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FLS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the peer average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FLS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FLS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (18x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FLS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FLS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.2x
Fair PE Ratio21.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FLS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FLS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentDKK 340.00
DKK 401.25
+18.0%
12.0%DKK 475.00DKK 320.00n/a8
Jul ’25DKK 347.80
DKK 401.25
+15.4%
15.0%DKK 475.00DKK 280.00n/a8
Jun ’25DKK 394.40
DKK 399.38
+1.3%
16.3%DKK 475.00DKK 280.00n/a8
May ’25DKK 347.60
DKK 370.63
+6.6%
15.7%DKK 455.00DKK 280.00n/a8
Apr ’25DKK 344.20
DKK 353.75
+2.8%
15.2%DKK 455.00DKK 280.00n/a8
Mar ’25DKK 322.20
DKK 348.33
+8.1%
14.1%DKK 455.00DKK 280.00n/a9
Feb ’25DKK 292.00
DKK 333.89
+14.3%
17.0%DKK 445.00DKK 270.00n/a9
Jan ’25DKK 287.20
DKK 344.44
+19.9%
14.4%DKK 445.00DKK 295.00n/a9
Dec ’24DKK 284.80
DKK 348.89
+22.5%
13.4%DKK 430.00DKK 290.00n/a9
Nov ’24DKK 261.60
DKK 359.44
+37.4%
12.1%DKK 430.00DKK 295.00n/a9
Oct ’24DKK 319.20
DKK 359.20
+12.5%
11.4%DKK 430.00DKK 295.00n/a10
Sep ’24DKK 314.60
DKK 354.11
+12.6%
12.6%DKK 430.00DKK 280.00n/a9
Aug ’24DKK 325.40
DKK 345.22
+6.1%
16.1%DKK 430.00DKK 250.00n/a9
Jul ’24DKK 330.20
DKK 330.78
+0.2%
16.1%DKK 430.00DKK 250.00DKK 347.809
Jun ’24DKK 297.20
DKK 298.89
+0.6%
16.8%DKK 370.00DKK 210.00DKK 394.409
May ’24DKK 263.60
DKK 274.56
+4.2%
24.6%DKK 370.00DKK 136.00DKK 347.609
Apr ’24DKK 262.20
DKK 273.89
+4.5%
25.2%DKK 370.00DKK 130.00DKK 344.209
Mar ’24DKK 276.10
DKK 273.89
-0.8%
25.2%DKK 370.00DKK 130.00DKK 322.209
Feb ’24DKK 296.30
DKK 266.25
-10.1%
24.0%DKK 350.00DKK 130.00DKK 292.008
Jan ’24DKK 251.70
DKK 250.00
-0.7%
27.2%DKK 350.00DKK 110.00DKK 287.208
Dec ’23DKK 213.50
DKK 248.13
+16.2%
27.6%DKK 350.00DKK 110.00DKK 284.808
Nov ’23DKK 177.45
DKK 242.78
+36.8%
26.7%DKK 350.00DKK 110.00DKK 261.609
Oct ’23DKK 165.90
DKK 252.78
+52.4%
21.3%DKK 350.00DKK 155.00DKK 319.209
Sep ’23DKK 189.65
DKK 242.22
+27.7%
24.3%DKK 350.00DKK 155.00DKK 314.609
Aug ’23DKK 197.20
DKK 238.44
+20.9%
24.9%DKK 350.00DKK 165.00DKK 325.409
Jul ’23DKK 171.00
DKK 244.56
+43.0%
22.0%DKK 350.00DKK 175.00DKK 330.209

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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