MicroStrategy Incorporated

DB:MIGA Stock Report

Market Cap: €21.1b

MicroStrategy Valuation

Is MIGA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MIGA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MIGA (€1194.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€373.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MIGA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MIGA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MIGA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue50x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-228.5x
PEG Ratio-0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MIGA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MIGA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average53.1x
NEM Nemetschek
59.3x15.8%€9.6b
SAP SAP
78.4x33.2%€201.9b
TMV TeamViewer
17.9x11.7%€2.0b
AOF ATOSS Software
56.9x11.8%€2.0b
MIGA MicroStrategy
52.7x-145.5%€22.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MIGA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.7x) compared to the peer average (53.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MIGA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a32.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a32.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MIGA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.7x) compared to the European Software industry average (33.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MIGA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MIGA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio52.7x
Fair PE Ratio3.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MIGA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MIGA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1,194.50
€1,256.14
+5.2%
41.8%€1,747.88€500.59n/a6
Apr ’25€1,577.50
€943.07
-40.2%
44.6%€1,657.24€491.68n/a6
Mar ’25€989.00
€732.22
-26.0%
21.6%€912.78€495.11n/a6
Feb ’25€467.60
€579.95
+24.0%
15.6%€729.78€495.44n/a5
Jan ’25€602.60
€604.89
+0.4%
13.5%€714.67€485.18n/a4
Dec ’24€485.00
€502.81
+3.7%
4.0%€519.12€468.59n/a4
Nov ’24€398.00
€432.13
+8.6%
22.7%€492.13€236.60n/a5
Oct ’24€309.80
€419.40
+35.4%
26.7%€486.15€196.33n/a5
Sep ’24€325.00
€410.02
+26.2%
26.7%€475.28€191.94n/a5
Aug ’24€388.70
€386.42
-0.6%
27.2%€471.69€190.49n/a5
Jul ’24€314.00
€306.87
-2.3%
33.1%€391.95€164.07n/a3
Jun ’24€278.80
€306.87
+10.1%
33.1%€391.95€164.07n/a3
May ’24€297.20
€306.87
+3.3%
33.1%€391.95€164.07n/a3
Apr ’24€269.10
€259.36
-3.6%
42.9%€370.52€148.21€1,577.502
Mar ’24€239.95
€259.36
+8.1%
42.9%€370.52€148.21€989.002
Feb ’24€230.25
€233.30
+1.3%
46.7%€342.35€124.24€467.602
Jan ’24€127.06
€447.31
+252.0%
73.5%€890.25€103.08€602.603
Dec ’23€190.38
€486.80
+155.7%
69.9%€948.96€139.85€485.003
Nov ’23€264.10
€505.09
+91.2%
65.9%€961.59€177.14€398.003
Oct ’23€220.00
€502.07
+128.2%
65.4%€952.66€180.50€309.803
Sep ’23€219.50
€492.31
+124.3%
65.4%€934.14€176.99€325.003
Aug ’23€267.50
€521.23
+94.9%
60.4%€938.41€177.80€388.703
Jul ’23€162.94
€505.29
+210.1%
60.4%€909.72€172.37€314.003
Jun ’23€242.45
€510.86
+110.7%
56.8%€899.84€203.65€278.803
May ’23€356.90
€603.18
+69.0%
35.6%€900.03€397.91€297.203
Apr ’23€438.00
€564.67
+28.9%
35.3%€840.37€375.96€269.103

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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