Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Software Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:SOW) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Software
What Is Software's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2021 Software had debt of €308.6m, up from €232.8m in one year. But on the other hand it also has €609.9m in cash, leading to a €301.3m net cash position.
How Healthy Is Software's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Software had liabilities of €490.9m due within a year, and liabilities of €292.3m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €609.9m as well as receivables valued at €225.5m due within 12 months. So it can boast €52.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Software has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Software boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
But the bad news is that Software has seen its EBIT plunge 17% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Software's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Software may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Software produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 78% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Software has €301.3m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 78% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €105m. So we are not troubled with Software's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Software .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:SOW
Software
Provides software development, licensing, maintenance, and IT services in Germany, the United States, and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.