Stock Analysis
The ATOSS Software SE (ETR:AOF) Interim Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
Investors in ATOSS Software SE (ETR:AOF) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.5% to close at €136 following the release of its half-yearly results. ATOSS Software reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of €84m and statutory earnings per share of €2.25, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for ATOSS Software
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from ATOSS Software's five analysts is for revenues of €172.4m in 2024. This would reflect a reasonable 6.6% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to reduce 3.4% to €2.48 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €172.5m and earnings per share (EPS) of €2.41 in 2024. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.
There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of €126, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on ATOSS Software, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at €145 and the most bearish at €112 per share. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that ATOSS Software's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 14% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 18% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 10% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while ATOSS Software's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards ATOSS Software following these results. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for ATOSS Software going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
We also provide an overview of the ATOSS Software Board and CEO remuneration and length of tenure at the company, and whether insiders have been buying the stock, here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:AOF
ATOSS Software
Offers technology and consulting solutions for professional workforce management and demand optimized personnel deployment in Germany, Austria, Switzerland, and internationally.