Stock Analysis

Schwabenverlag AG's (BST:SBV) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 52%

BST:SBV
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Schwabenverlag AG (BST:SBV) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 52% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 67%.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, considering around half the companies operating in Germany's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.8x, you may still consider Schwabenverlag as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Schwabenverlag

ps-multiple-vs-industry
BST:SBV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 29th 2024

What Does Schwabenverlag's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at Schwabenverlag over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Schwabenverlag will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Schwabenverlag's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Schwabenverlag's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 17% gain to the company's top line. Revenue has also lifted 5.4% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 6.0% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Schwabenverlag is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Schwabenverlag's P/S?

Schwabenverlag's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Schwabenverlag revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Schwabenverlag (3 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Schwabenverlag's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Schwabenverlag is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.