Stock Analysis

Here's Why WASGAU Produktions & Handels (FRA:MSH) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

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DB:MSH

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG (FRA:MSH) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for WASGAU Produktions & Handels

How Much Debt Does WASGAU Produktions & Handels Carry?

As you can see below, WASGAU Produktions & Handels had €55.1m of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have €16.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €38.2m.

DB:MSH Debt to Equity History May 27th 2024

How Strong Is WASGAU Produktions & Handels' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that WASGAU Produktions & Handels had liabilities of €79.0m due within a year, and liabilities of €170.5m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €16.8m as well as receivables valued at €6.35m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €226.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €66.0m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, WASGAU Produktions & Handels would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Given net debt is only 1.5 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that WASGAU Produktions & Handels's EBIT has low interest coverage of 2.4 times. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Sadly, WASGAU Produktions & Handels's EBIT actually dropped 5.8% in the last year. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is WASGAU Produktions & Handels's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, WASGAU Produktions & Handels actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Mulling over WASGAU Produktions & Handels's attempt at staying on top of its total liabilities, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that WASGAU Produktions & Handels has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with WASGAU Produktions & Handels , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if WASGAU Produktions & Handels might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.