SGL Carbon Valuation

Is SGL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SGL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SGL (€5.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€18.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SGL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SGL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SGL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.5x
PEG Ratio0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SGL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SGL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.6x
F3C SFC Energy
14.6x2.3%€351.6m
OSR OSRAM Licht
6xn/a€4.7b
EKT Energiekontor
10.2x10.7%€758.8m
2GB 2G Energy
19.5x19.6%€350.5m
SGL SGL Carbon
7.9x18.3%€634.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the peer average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SGL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electrical Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the European Electrical industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SGL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SGL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.9x
Fair PE Ratio14.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SGL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.19
€10.42
+100.8%
9.5%€11.40€9.00n/a5
Sep ’25€5.69
€10.42
+83.1%
9.5%€11.40€9.00n/a5
Aug ’25€6.10
€10.40
+70.5%
6.3%€11.40€9.50n/a5
Jul ’25€6.36
€17.90
+181.4%
83.6%€47.80€9.50n/a5
Jun ’25€7.05
€17.90
+153.9%
83.6%€47.80€9.50n/a5
May ’25€6.73
€10.48
+55.7%
6.9%€11.40€9.50n/a5
Apr ’25€6.96
€10.58
+52.1%
7.9%€11.70€9.50n/a5
Mar ’25€6.23
€10.18
+63.5%
13.2%€11.70€8.00n/a5
Feb ’25€5.86
€10.18
+73.7%
13.2%€11.70€8.00n/a5
Jan ’25€6.51
€10.64
+63.4%
13.0%€11.70€8.00n/a5
Dec ’24€6.14
€10.64
+73.4%
13.0%€11.70€8.00n/a5
Nov ’24€5.85
€10.90
+86.5%
15.2%€13.00€8.00n/a5
Oct ’24€6.61
€10.68
+61.7%
15.2%€13.00€8.00n/a5
Sep ’24€6.95
€10.54
+51.7%
17.6%€13.00€7.30€5.695
Aug ’24€7.48
€10.54
+40.9%
17.6%€13.00€7.30€6.105
Jul ’24€8.42
€11.98
+42.3%
9.0%€13.00€10.50€6.364
Jun ’24€8.51
€10.28
+20.8%
24.9%€13.00€6.50€7.056
May ’24€8.34
€10.16
+21.8%
27.3%€13.00€6.50€6.735
Apr ’24€9.09
€8.92
-1.9%
25.3%€13.00€6.50€6.965
Mar ’24€9.11
€8.92
-2.1%
25.3%€13.00€6.50€6.235
Feb ’24€7.90
€7.94
+0.5%
11.4%€9.00€6.50€5.865
Jan ’24€6.93
€7.94
+14.6%
11.4%€9.00€6.50€6.515
Dec ’23€7.50
€7.03
-6.2%
31.1%€9.00€2.50€6.146
Nov ’23€7.38
€7.03
-4.6%
31.1%€9.00€2.50€5.856
Oct ’23€6.00
€7.38
+23.0%
38.3%€11.00€2.50€6.615
Sep ’23€6.56
€7.28
+11.0%
35.2%€11.00€2.50€6.956

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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