Stock Analysis
After Leaping 28% NORMA Group SE (ETR:NOEJ) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
NORMA Group SE (ETR:NOEJ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 2.2% isn't as attractive.
Following the firm bounce in price, NORMA Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.1x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Germany, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 15x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
NORMA Group could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
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In order to justify its P/E ratio, NORMA Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 18%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 62% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 61% as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 23%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that NORMA Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
NORMA Group's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of NORMA Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for NORMA Group (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of NORMA Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:NOEJ
NORMA Group
Manufactures and sells engineered joining technology solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific.