Stock Analysis

Does Knorr-Bremse (ETR:KBX) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

XTRA:KBX
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Knorr-Bremse AG (ETR:KBX) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Knorr-Bremse

What Is Knorr-Bremse's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Knorr-Bremse had €1.56b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of €884.2m, its net debt is less, at about €674.6m.

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XTRA:KBX Debt to Equity History December 25th 2023

How Strong Is Knorr-Bremse's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Knorr-Bremse had liabilities of €2.61b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €2.66b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €884.2m in cash and €1.80b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €2.59b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Knorr-Bremse has a huge market capitalization of €9.48b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Knorr-Bremse has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.65. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 15.9 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also good is that Knorr-Bremse grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Knorr-Bremse can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Knorr-Bremse produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 54% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that Knorr-Bremse's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Knorr-Bremse is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Knorr-Bremse , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.