Stock Analysis
In the wake of Daimler Truck Holding AG's (ETR:DTG) latest €1.6b market cap drop, institutional owners may be forced to take severe actions
Key Insights
- Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Daimler Truck Holding's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
- The top 5 shareholders own 51% of the company
- Using data from analyst forecasts alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company
To get a sense of who is truly in control of Daimler Truck Holding AG (ETR:DTG), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are institutions with 40% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.
And so it follows that institutional investors was the group most impacted after the company's market cap fell to €24b last week after a 6.2% drop in the share price. This set of investors may especially be concerned about the current loss, which adds to a one-year loss of 5.7% for shareholders. Also referred to as "smart money", institutions have a lot of sway over how a stock's price moves. As a result, if the decline continues, institutional investors may be pressured to sell Daimler Truck Holding which might hurt individual investors.
In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Daimler Truck Holding.
Check out our latest analysis for Daimler Truck Holding
What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Daimler Truck Holding?
Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.
Daimler Truck Holding already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Daimler Truck Holding's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.
Hedge funds don't have many shares in Daimler Truck Holding. The company's largest shareholder is Mercedes-Benz Group AG, with ownership of 31%. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 6.5% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 5.2% by the third-largest shareholder.
To make our study more interesting, we found that the top 5 shareholders control more than half of the company which implies that this group has considerable sway over the company's decision-making.
While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.
Insider Ownership Of Daimler Truck Holding
While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.
Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.
Our data cannot confirm that board members are holding shares personally. Given we are not picking up on insider ownership, we may have missing data. Therefore, it would be interesting to assess the CEO compensation and tenure, here.
General Public Ownership
With a 22% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Daimler Truck Holding. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.
Private Company Ownership
Our data indicates that Private Companies hold 6.5%, of the company's shares. Private companies may be related parties. Sometimes insiders have an interest in a public company through a holding in a private company, rather than in their own capacity as an individual. While it's hard to draw any broad stroke conclusions, it is worth noting as an area for further research.
Public Company Ownership
It appears to us that public companies own 31% of Daimler Truck Holding. It's hard to say for sure but this suggests they have entwined business interests. This might be a strategic stake, so it's worth watching this space for changes in ownership.
Next Steps:
It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Daimler Truck Holding better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Daimler Truck Holding (1 can't be ignored) that you should be aware of.
But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.
NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:DTG
Daimler Truck Holding
Manufactures and sells light, medium- and heavy-duty trucks and buses in Europe, North America, Asia, Latin America, and internationally.