Stock Analysis

Shareholders in BayWa (ETR:BYW) have lost 56%, as stock drops 30% this past week

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XTRA:BYW

Investing in stocks comes with the risk that the share price will fall. And unfortunately for BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:BYW) shareholders, the stock is a lot lower today than it was a year ago. The share price has slid 56% in that time. Even if you look out three years, the returns are still disappointing, with the share price down53% in that time. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 31% in the last three months.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for BayWa isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for BayWa

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

BayWa fell to a loss making position during the year. Buyers no doubt think it's a temporary situation, but those with a nose for quality have low tolerance for losses. However, there may be an opportunity for investors if the company can recover.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

XTRA:BYW Earnings Per Share Growth July 21st 2024

This free interactive report on BayWa's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 4.0% in the last year, BayWa shareholders lost 56%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand BayWa better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for BayWa (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on German exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BayWa might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.