Stock Analysis
Investors in Bayerische Motoren Werke (ETR:BMW) have seen returns of 6.0% over the past three years
Investors are understandably disappointed when a stock they own declines in value. But when the market is down, you're bound to have some losers. While the Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:BMW) share price is down 14% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was 6.0%. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 9.0%. Furthermore, it's down 13% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
Check out our latest analysis for Bayerische Motoren Werke
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During the three years that the share price fell, Bayerische Motoren Werke's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 0.08% each year. The share price decline of 5% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 4.53.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
Dive deeper into Bayerische Motoren Werke's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Bayerische Motoren Werke's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Bayerische Motoren Werke, it has a TSR of 6.0% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 23% in the last year, Bayerische Motoren Werke shareholders lost 8.6% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 7% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Bayerische Motoren Werke better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Bayerische Motoren Werke (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .
Of course Bayerische Motoren Werke may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on German exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Bayerische Motoren Werke might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:BMW
Bayerische Motoren Werke
Engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of automobiles and motorcycles, and spare parts and accessories worldwide.