Stock Analysis

Beijing Jingneng Power (SHSE:600578) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

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SHSE:600578

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Beijing Jingneng Power Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600578) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Beijing Jingneng Power

What Is Beijing Jingneng Power's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Beijing Jingneng Power had CN¥46.7b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CN¥4.25b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥42.4b.

SHSE:600578 Debt to Equity History August 23rd 2024

A Look At Beijing Jingneng Power's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Beijing Jingneng Power had liabilities of CN¥21.8b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥35.2b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.25b as well as receivables valued at CN¥5.24b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥47.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥21.6b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Beijing Jingneng Power would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Beijing Jingneng Power's net debt to EBITDA ratio is 8.2 which suggests rather high debt levels, but its interest cover of 7.7 times suggests the debt is easily serviced. Overall we'd say it seems likely the company is carrying a fairly heavy swag of debt. If Beijing Jingneng Power can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 10% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Beijing Jingneng Power's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last two years, Beijing Jingneng Power saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Beijing Jingneng Power's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Beijing Jingneng Power to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Beijing Jingneng Power you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.