Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics Inc.'s (SZSE:300240) 25% Share Price Plunge
Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics Inc. (SZSE:300240) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 11% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it would still be understandable if you think Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Logistics industry have P/S ratios above 1.1x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics
How Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 33% last year. As a result, it also grew revenue by 7.5% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics' P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics' P/S Mean For Investors?
Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
If you're unsure about the strength of Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300240
Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics
Jiangsu Feiliks International Logistics Inc.
Low and slightly overvalued.