Stock Analysis

Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002357) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 27%

Published
SZSE:002357

Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002357) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 9.9% isn't as attractive.

Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 38x, you may still consider Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group as an attractive investment with its 32.4x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

For instance, Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group

SZSE:002357 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 15th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 45%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 18% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 38% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

With this information, we are not surprised that Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group's P/E close to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group that you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.