Stock Analysis
DEPPON LOGISTICS' (SHSE:603056) Earnings Offer More Than Meets The Eye
DEPPON LOGISTICS Co., LTD.'s (SHSE:603056) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the last week. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.
See our latest analysis for DEPPON LOGISTICS
A Closer Look At DEPPON LOGISTICS' Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Over the twelve months to June 2024, DEPPON LOGISTICS recorded an accrual ratio of -0.23. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥2.3b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥835.8m. DEPPON LOGISTICS' free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
Surprisingly, given DEPPON LOGISTICS' accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥291m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that DEPPON LOGISTICS' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
Our Take On DEPPON LOGISTICS' Profit Performance
In conclusion, DEPPON LOGISTICS' accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether DEPPON LOGISTICS's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. If you'd like to know more about DEPPON LOGISTICS as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for DEPPON LOGISTICS you should be aware of.
Our examination of DEPPON LOGISTICS has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603056
DEPPON LOGISTICS
Operates as a customer-centered logistics company in Mainland China, Japan, South Korea, Europe, America, Southeast Asia, Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan, and internationally.