Stock Analysis

YTO Express GroupLtd (SHSE:600233) jumps 4.4% this week, though earnings growth is still tracking behind three-year shareholder returns

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SHSE:600233

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, YTO Express Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600233) shareholders have seen the share price rise 57% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (20%, not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 6.5%, including dividends.

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for YTO Express GroupLtd

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During three years of share price growth, YTO Express GroupLtd achieved compound earnings per share growth of 23% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 16% average annual increase in the share price. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

SHSE:600233 Earnings Per Share Growth May 21st 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on YTO Express GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for YTO Express GroupLtd the TSR over the last 3 years was 63%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that YTO Express GroupLtd has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 6.5% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 8% per year, is even more impressive. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand YTO Express GroupLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with YTO Express GroupLtd .

We will like YTO Express GroupLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.