Stock Analysis

Is Shanghai International Port (Group) (SHSE:600018) A Risky Investment?

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SHSE:600018

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Shanghai International Port (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600018) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Shanghai International Port (Group)

How Much Debt Does Shanghai International Port (Group) Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Shanghai International Port (Group) had CN¥48.6b of debt, up from CN¥40.9b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥36.4b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥12.2b.

SHSE:600018 Debt to Equity History August 12th 2024

A Look At Shanghai International Port (Group)'s Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shanghai International Port (Group) had liabilities of CN¥24.3b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥41.2b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥36.4b in cash and CN¥4.73b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥24.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Shanghai International Port (Group) shares are worth a very impressive total of CN¥140.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Shanghai International Port (Group) has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.91. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. On top of that, Shanghai International Port (Group) grew its EBIT by 55% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai International Port (Group) can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Shanghai International Port (Group) generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 82% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

The good news is that Shanghai International Port (Group)'s demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. It's also worth noting that Shanghai International Port (Group) is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. It looks Shanghai International Port (Group) has no trouble standing on its own two feet, and it has no reason to fear its lenders. For investing nerds like us its balance sheet is almost charming. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Shanghai International Port (Group) is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.