Stock Analysis

Earnings growth of 17% over 1 year hasn't been enough to translate into positive returns for Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical (SHSE:603829) shareholders

Published
SHSE:603829

It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. Active investors aim to buy stocks that vastly outperform the market - but in the process, they risk under-performance. That downside risk was realized by Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603829) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 16%. That falls noticeably short of the market decline of around 9.6%. The silver lining (for longer term investors) is that the stock is still 11% higher than it was three years ago. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 11%.

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Even though the Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.

It's fair to say that the share price does not seem to be reflecting the EPS growth. But we might find some different metrics explain the share price movements better.

With a low yield of 0.8% we doubt that the dividend influences the share price much. Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical managed to grow revenue over the last year, which is usually a real positive. Since the fundamental metrics don't readily explain the share price drop, there might be an opportunity if the market has overreacted.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

SHSE:603829 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 5th 2024

If you are thinking of buying or selling Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 9.6% in the twelve months, Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical shareholders did even worse, losing 15% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 3% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical that you should be aware of before investing here.

We will like Jiangsu Luokai Mechanical &Electrical better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.