Stock Analysis

We Think Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom (SHSE:600289) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

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SHSE:600289

Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom (SHSE:600289) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

Check out our latest analysis for Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom

Does Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom Have A Long Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom last reported its March 2024 balance sheet in April 2024, it had zero debt and cash worth CN¥667m. Importantly, its cash burn was CN¥160m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from March 2024 it had 4.2 years of cash runway. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

SHSE:600289 Debt to Equity History August 30th 2024

How Well Is Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom Growing?

Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom actually ramped up its cash burn by a whopping 73% in the last year, which shows it is boosting investment in the business. While that's concerning on it's own, the fact that operating revenue was actually down 25% over the same period makes us positively tremulous. Taken together, we think these growth metrics are a little worrying. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic earnings and revenue shows how Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom is building its business over time.

How Hard Would It Be For Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom To Raise More Cash For Growth?

While Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom seems to be in a fairly good position, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom has a market capitalisation of CN¥865m and burnt through CN¥160m last year, which is 18% of the company's market value. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.

How Risky Is Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom's Cash Burn Situation?

On this analysis of Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom's cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom's situation. Taking an in-depth view of risks, we've identified 1 warning sign for Bright Oceans Inter-Telecom that you should be aware of before investing.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.