Stock Analysis

More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Guangdong Fuxin Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688662) Shares After Tumbling 26%

SHSE:688662
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Guangdong Fuxin Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688662) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 36% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Guangdong Fuxin Technology's P/S ratio of 5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Semiconductor industry in China is also close to 5.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Guangdong Fuxin Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688662 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 26th 2024

How Guangdong Fuxin Technology Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Guangdong Fuxin Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangdong Fuxin Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Guangdong Fuxin Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 20%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 36% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 34% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Guangdong Fuxin Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Guangdong Fuxin Technology looks to be in line with the rest of the Semiconductor industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look at Guangdong Fuxin Technology revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Guangdong Fuxin Technology (2 are concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Guangdong Fuxin Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.