Stock Analysis

Earnings Miss: JCET Group Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 32% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Published
SHSE:600584

JCET Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600584) last week reported its latest third-quarter results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. It looks like a pretty bad result, all things considered. Although revenues of CN¥9.5b were in line with analyst predictions, statutory earnings fell badly short, missing estimates by 32% to hit CN¥0.25 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for JCET Group

SHSE:600584 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 29th 2024

After the latest results, the 18 analysts covering JCET Group are now predicting revenues of CN¥38.6b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a solid 13% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 82% to CN¥1.60. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥38.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.63 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥40.98. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values JCET Group at CN¥50.50 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥22.70. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that JCET Group's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 10% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 6.4% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 23% per year. It seems obvious that, while the future growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, JCET Group is expected to grow slower than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that JCET Group's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥40.98, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for JCET Group going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You can also view our analysis of JCET Group's balance sheet, and whether we think JCET Group is carrying too much debt, for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.