Stock Analysis

The three-year loss for Grinm Advanced Materials (SHSE:600206) shareholders likely driven by its shrinking earnings

Published
SHSE:600206

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. We regret to report that long term Grinm Advanced Materials Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600206) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 44% in three years, versus a market decline of about 28%. And over the last year the share price fell 31%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. On the other hand the share price has bounced 7.3% over the last week.

The recent uptick of 7.3% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

Check out our latest analysis for Grinm Advanced Materials

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the three years that the share price fell, Grinm Advanced Materials' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 5.4% each year. The share price decline of 18% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

SHSE:600206 Earnings Per Share Growth August 1st 2024

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Grinm Advanced Materials shareholders are down 30% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 20%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Grinm Advanced Materials you should be aware of.

But note: Grinm Advanced Materials may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.