Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On Shanghai Kaytune Industrial Co.,Ltd (SZSE:301001) Is Unlikely

SZSE:301001
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It's not a stretch to say that Shanghai Kaytune Industrial Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:301001) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Multiline Retail industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Kaytune IndustrialLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301001 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

What Does Shanghai Kaytune IndustrialLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Shanghai Kaytune IndustrialLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Kaytune IndustrialLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Shanghai Kaytune IndustrialLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Shanghai Kaytune IndustrialLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.6%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 8.4% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Kaytune IndustrialLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

The fact that Shanghai Kaytune IndustrialLtd currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Shanghai Kaytune IndustrialLtd (3 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai Kaytune IndustrialLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shanghai Kaytune IndustrialLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.