Stock Analysis

Chongqing Department Store Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600729) Stock Catapults 26% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

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SHSE:600729

Despite an already strong run, Chongqing Department Store Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600729) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Even after such a large jump in price, Chongqing Department StoreLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.2x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 37x and even P/E's above 71x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

There hasn't been much to differentiate Chongqing Department StoreLtd's and the market's retreating earnings lately. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings may begin to slide even faster. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. In saying that, existing shareholders may feel hopeful about the share price if the company's earnings continue tracking the market.

Check out our latest analysis for Chongqing Department StoreLtd

SHSE:600729 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 2nd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Chongqing Department StoreLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Chongqing Department StoreLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.6%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 8.0% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 39%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Chongqing Department StoreLtd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Chongqing Department StoreLtd's P/E?

Chongqing Department StoreLtd's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Chongqing Department StoreLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Chongqing Department StoreLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.